Pacers vs. Heat Prediction & Picks: Line, Spread, Over/Under – February 28
Published 9:18 pm Thursday, February 27, 2025
The Indiana Pacers (33-24) take the court against the Miami Heat (27-30) as 3.5-point favorites on Friday, February 28, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and FDSIN.
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Pacers vs. Heat Game Info & Odds
- Date: Friday, February 28, 2025
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- How to watch on TV: FDSSUN and FDSIN
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Venue: Kaseya Center
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Pacers vs. Heat Score Prediction
- Prediction: –
Heat 114 – Pacers 113
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Spread & Total Prediction for Pacers vs. Heat
- Pick ATS: Heat (+ 3.5)
- Computer Predicted Spread: Heat (-0.3)
- Pick OU:
Under (226.5)
- Computer Predicted Total: 226.1
- The Pacers (28-29-0 ATS) have covered the spread 49.1% of the time, 3.5% more often than the Heat (26-31-0) this year.
- As a 3.5-point favorite or more in 2024-25, Indiana is 12-15 against the spread compared to the 6-11 ATS record Miami racks up as a 3.5-point underdog.
- Indiana and its opponents have eclipsed the total 57.9% of the time this season (33 out of 57). That’s more often than Miami and its opponents have (31 out of 57).
- The Pacers have a .636 winning percentage as a moneyline favorite (21-12) this season while the Heat have a .320 winning percentage as a moneyline underdog (8-17).
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Pacers Performance Insights
- On offense, the Pacers are averaging 116.4 points per game (ninth-ranked in league). They are ceding 115.2 points per contest on defense (20th-ranked).
- While Indiana is in the bottom five in the NBA in boards per game with 41.4 (third-worst), it ranks 19th in the league with 44.6 rebounds allowed per contest.
- This season, the Pacers rank sixth in the league in assists, dishing out 28.9 per game.
- Indiana ranks fourth-best in the NBA by committing just 12.6 turnovers per game. In terms of forced turnovers, it ranks ninth in the league (14.2 per contest).
- The Pacers are draining 12.7 three-pointers per game (19th-ranked in league). They have a 36.7% shooting percentage (11th-ranked) from three-point land.
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Heat Performance Insights
- In 2024-25, the Heat are 24th in the NBA offensively (110 points scored per game) and seventh on defense (110.6 points conceded).
- Miami grabs 43.9 rebounds per game and give up 45.5 boards, ranking 18th and 23rd, respectively, in the league.
- With 26.1 assists per game, the Heat are 16th in the league.
- Miami commits 12.7 turnovers per game and force 12.6 per game, ranking sixth and 23rd, respectively, in the NBA.
- The Heat make 13.9 3-pointers per game and shoot 36% from beyond the arc, ranking 11th and 14th, respectively, in the NBA.
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