Thursday’s game features the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (24-3) and the Florida State Seminoles (22-6) squaring off at Purcell Pavilion in what should be a lopsided matchup, with a projected 85-70 win for heavily favored Notre Dame according to our computer prediction. Game time is at 8 p.m. ET on February 27.

Based on our computer prediction, Florida State is projected to cover the point spread (17.5) versus Notre Dame. The two sides are expected to come in below the 168.5 over/under.

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Notre Dame vs. Florida State Game Info & Odds

• Date: Thursday, February 27, 2025
• Time: 8 p.m. ET
• TV channel: ACC Network
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: South Bend, Indiana
• Venue: Purcell Pavilion
• Line: Notre Dame -17.5
• Point total: 168.5
• Moneyline (to win): Notre Dame -2000, Florida State +1000

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Notre Dame vs. Florida State Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Notre Dame 85, Florida State 70

Spread & Total Prediction for Notre Dame vs. Florida State

• Pick ATS: Florida State (+17.5)
• Pick OU: Under (168.5)

Notre Dame has a 15-11-0 record against the spread so far this season compared to Florida State, who is 7-6-0 ATS. The Fighting Irish have a 15-11-0 record going over the point total, while games involving the Seminoles have a record of 8-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over. The two teams average 176.2 points per game, 7.7 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the last 10 contests, Notre Dame is 5-5 against the spread and 9-1 overall while Florida State has gone 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall.

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Notre Dame Performance Insights

• The Fighting Irish are outscoring opponents by 25.5 points per game with a +688 scoring differential overall. They put up 86.8 points per game (fourth in college basketball) and give up 61.3 per outing (103rd in college basketball).
• Notre Dame wins the rebound battle by 11 boards on average. It collects 40.6 rebounds per game, which ranks fourth in college basketball, while its opponents grab 29.6 per contest.
• Notre Dame makes 7.9 three-pointers per game (43rd in college basketball) while shooting 40.6% from beyond the arc (first in college basketball). It is making 2.9 more threes per contest than its opponents, who drain 5 per game while shooting 25.9%.
• The Fighting Irish’s 98.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 11th in college basketball, and the 69.4 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 14th in college basketball.
• Notre Dame has won the turnover battle on average this season, committing 15.1 per game (166th in college basketball action) while forcing 17.8 (64th in college basketball).

Florida State Performance Insights

• The Seminoles are outscoring opponents by 18.2 points per game, with a +510 scoring differential overall. They put up 89.4 points per game (second in college basketball) and give up 71.2 per outing (318th in college basketball).
• Florida State wins the rebound battle by 1.5 boards on average. It records 34.6 rebounds per game, 65th in college basketball, while its opponents grab 33.1.
• Florida State makes 3.2 more threes per game than the opposition, 8.8 (18th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.6.
• Florida State has committed 5.6 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 10.7 (eighth in college basketball) while forcing 16.3 (132nd in college basketball).

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