SMU vs. Notre Dame Predictions & Picks: Spread, Total – February 19

Published 3:28 pm Tuesday, February 18, 2025

Wednesday’s game at Purcell Pavilion has the SMU Mustangs (19-6, 10-4 ACC) going head-to-head against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-14, 5-9 ACC) at 7:00 PM (on February 19). Our computer prediction projects a 76-72 victory for SMU, who is a small favorite based on our model.

Based on our computer prediction, SMU is projected to cover the spread (2.5) against Notre Dame. The two sides are projected to go over the 145.5 total.

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SMU vs. Notre Dame Game Info & Odds

  • Date: Wednesday, February 19, 2025
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • TV: ACC Network
  • Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
  • Where: South Bend, Indiana
  • Venue: Purcell Pavilion
  • Line: SMU -2.5
  • Point total: 145.5
  • Moneyline (to win): SMU -134, Notre Dame +112

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SMU vs. Notre Dame Score Prediction

  • Prediction:
    SMU 76, Notre Dame 72

Spread & Total Prediction for SMU vs. Notre Dame

  • Pick ATS: SMU (-2.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (145.5)

Both SMU and Notre Dame are 12-13-0 against the spread (ATS) so far this season. The Mustangs have gone over the point total in 14 games, while Fighting Irish games have gone over 11 times. The two teams score 155.3 points per game, 9.8 more points than this matchup’s total. Over the past 10 games, SMU is 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 overall while Notre Dame has gone 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall.

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SMU Performance Insights

  • The Mustangs average 82.1 points per game (24th in college basketball) while allowing 71.4 per outing (176th in college basketball). They have a +269 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 10.7 points per game.
  • SMU pulls down 35.4 rebounds per game (33rd in college basketball) while conceding 29.8 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 5.6 boards per game.
  • SMU knocks down 8.3 three-pointers per game (120th in college basketball) at a 38.2% rate (18th in college basketball), compared to the 8.0 its opponents make while shooting 32.4% from deep.
  • The Mustangs rank 43rd in college basketball with 102.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 83rd in college basketball defensively with 88.7 points conceded per 100 possessions.
  • SMU has committed 11.2 turnovers per game (171st in college basketball action) while forcing 11.8 (148th in college basketball).

Notre Dame Performance Insights

  • The Fighting Irish put up 73.2 points per game (207th in college basketball) while allowing 70.9 per outing (154th in college basketball). They have a +58 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 2.3 points per game.
  • Notre Dame pulls down 32.1 rebounds per game (177th in college basketball) while conceding 28.4 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.7 boards per game.
  • Notre Dame knocks down 7.9 three-pointers per game (160th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.6 on average.
  • Notre Dame forces 9.7 turnovers per game (328th in college basketball) while committing 10.2 (75th in college basketball).

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