Monday’s game between the No. 1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish (22-2) and the No. 11 Duke Blue Devils (20-5) at Purcell Pavilion has a projected final score of 74-67 based on our computer prediction, with a favored Notre Dame squad taking home the win. Game time is at 6:00 PM ET on February 17.

Based on our computer prediction, Duke is projected to cover the point spread (8.5) versus Notre Dame. The two teams are projected to eclipse the 139.5 total.

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Notre Dame vs. Duke Game Info & Odds

• Date: Monday, February 17, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV channel: ESPN
• Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
• Where: South Bend, Indiana
• Venue: Purcell Pavilion
• Line: Notre Dame -8.5
• Point total: 139.5
• Moneyline (to win): Notre Dame -500, Duke +375

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Notre Dame vs. Duke Score Prediction

• Prediction:
  Notre Dame 74, Duke 67

Spread & Total Prediction for Notre Dame vs. Duke

• Pick ATS: Duke (+8.5)
• Pick OU: Over (139.5)

Notre Dame has put together a 14-10-0 record against the spread this season, while Duke is 13-9-0. The Fighting Irish are 14-10-0 and the Blue Devils are 9-13-0 in terms of hitting the over. The teams score an average of 164 points per game, 24.5 more points than this matchup’s total. Notre Dame is 5-5 against the spread and 10-0 overall in its last 10 games, while Duke has gone 6-4 against the spread and 8-2 overall.

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Notre Dame Performance Insights

• The Fighting Irish have a +642 scoring differential, topping opponents by 26.7 points per game. They’re putting up 87.6 points per game to rank fourth in college basketball and are giving up 60.9 per outing to rank 97th in college basketball.
• Notre Dame grabs 40.5 rebounds per game (fourth in college basketball) while allowing 28.9 per contest to its opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 11.6 boards per game.
• Notre Dame connects on 2.8 more threes per game than the opposition, 8.1 (33rd in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.3.
• The Fighting Irish score 99.6 points per 100 possessions (seventh in college basketball), while allowing 69.2 points per 100 possessions (13th in college basketball).
• Notre Dame has committed 15.2 turnovers per game (167th in college basketball action), 2.7 fewer than the 17.9 it forces on average (63rd in college basketball).

Duke Performance Insights

• The Blue Devils are outscoring opponents by 18.0 points per game, with a +450 scoring differential overall. They put up 76.4 points per game (37th in college basketball) and give up 58.4 per contest (57th in college basketball).
• The 35.2 rebounds per game Duke accumulates rank 58th in the nation, 8.2 more than the 27 its opponents collect.
• Duke knocks down 6.3 three-pointers per game (160th in college basketball), 1.9 more than its opponents.
• Duke has committed 5.6 fewer turnovers than its opponents, averaging 14.4 (111th in college basketball) while forcing 20 (20th in college basketball).

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